Tuesday, March 31, 2009

Who is in charge?

Although I hate to admit it, the Chinese are extremely adept at exposing our vulnerabilities. Their recent investment in technologies to nullify our conventional forces should alarm the defense community.

Over the past century, the United States has projected its military power with a naval fleet, sending envoys worldwide. From humanitarian missions, to regional conflicts, aircraft carriers have been the backbone of our ability to gain air superiority abroad. Disputes in Cambodia, Iran, Grenada, Libya, and both gulf wars (just to name a few) have demonstrated the awesome power that the aircraft carrier brings with it.

However, the age of technology has brought with it the ability to eliminate barriers of entry to military power. What I mean by that is it is now much easier for a state to gain an advantage over a once very expensive technology. The invention, and subsequent advances in ballistic missile technology has created instant power projection. In fact, the Chinese military is replacing the need for manned aircraft, most notably directed at Taiwan, by building more ballistic missiles.

The pentagon recently submitted their annual report on the "Military Power of the People's Republic of China." If you don't think China is a growing threat to US strategic interests, I suggest you peruse the report. It outlines China's efforts to rapidly expand and modernize their forces, as well as significantly augment their stockpile of ballistic missiles.

Perhaps the most alarming report was confirmed today by the US Naval Institute which reports of the development of the PRC's capabilities: The Anti Ship Ballistic Missile (ASBM),

After years of conjecture, details have begun to emerge of a "kill weapon" developed by the Chinese to target and destroy U.S. aircraft carriers...

The size of the missile enables it to carry a warhead big enough to inflict significant damage on a large vessel, providing the Chinese the capability of destroying a U.S. supercarrier in one strike.

This development marks the first time a ballistic missile can target a vessel at sea.

These facts provide a fairly clear image of what the PRC is attempting to do: compete with, and even position itself to defeat, US military preeminence.

The question is, can Obama step up to the plate to defend our vulnerabilities. Ballistic Missile Defense spending has, and is going to continue to be hamstrung by this administration. I expect that he will follow in the footsteps of Clinton and cut billions in military spending, thus increasing our vulnerabilities to China.

Couple all of this with the leveraged position China has in trade, as well as in our national debt, one thing is clear; we are not wearing the pants in this relationship.

I encourage you, President Obama, to put on some pants. Here is what they look like.

1 comments:

Anonymous March 31, 2009 at 1:40 PM  

I suggest to those that do not get the seriousness of this build up to go and read US accounts of the US 1945-1975, 1991, 2001, and 2003 wars. In all these wars the US used vulnerable airbases for its power projection. And before the US is ready to project this power these base must be build up. If the Iraqis had possessed a thousand medium range ballistic missiles capable of 30 metre CEPs the US could not have taken back Kuwait in the manner in which it took it back. Remember US aircraft are vulnerable to even fragments from missiles, their lift and control surfaces being only slightly stronger than Coke can aluminum. The US needs to take interest in not only the DF-21C and DF-31A but the "base" DF-21 and DF-31 which will change the manner in which the US can project land-based airpower in the Pacific. Whereas carriers only hold about 40 fighters at a time...airbases can and do hold thousands and bombers to boot. US airpower is mainly projected from land bases and the US needs to enable itself to defend and rapidly reconstitute these assets. Defense and reconstitution should be included in all Red Flag exercises and the US should perhaps create a training centre where air bases are attacked and rapidly rebuilt, a Weapons School for those that enable airpower.

W

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Missouri State University’s Department of Defense and Strategic Studies (DSS), located in Fairfax, VA, provides professional, graduate-level education in national security policy; foreign policy; arms control; missile proliferation; international security affairs; defense policy analysis, planning and programs; and intelligence analysis.

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